Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 7.737085 8.907086 10.151315 11.568433 13.133063 14.803152 16.715884
2025-06-29 5.638612 7.155098 8.885025 10.986213 13.450339 16.229533 19.581256
2025-07-06 4.166080 5.816848 7.831129 10.427396 13.640196 17.440123 22.225506
2025-07-13 3.509691 5.331380 7.687222 10.877886 15.001521 20.064478 26.655926
2025-07-20 3.117607 5.108367 7.818115 11.646920 16.777810 23.272467 31.955823
2025-07-27 2.765918 4.872483 7.881109 12.300194 18.417095 26.369829 37.249916
2025-08-03 2.332601 4.437349 7.597803 12.426206 19.328424 28.539819 41.423950
2025-08-10 1.882465 3.891836 7.073909 12.137225 19.615016 29.857363 44.497892
2025-08-17 1.534296 3.446657 6.636679 11.913026 19.945654 31.213146 47.638239
2025-08-24 1.274489 3.104555 6.312738 11.814022 20.424630 32.764445 51.069264
2025-08-31 1.060528 2.803991 6.014571 11.715486 20.876741 34.271785 54.465622
2025-09-07 0.967929 2.727385 6.091345 12.222321 22.267330 37.170209 59.900081
2025-09-14 0.816792 2.501371 5.881153 12.246209 22.927984 39.061171 64.017759
2025-09-21 0.638007 2.168283 5.424474 11.800797 22.805924 39.773561 66.448175
2025-09-28 0.488290 1.859875 4.966928 11.301985 22.551642 40.257565 68.541234
2025-10-05 0.448585 1.828783 5.071354 11.836462 24.042955 43.475556 74.791261
2025-10-12 0.436239 1.871984 5.337553 12.690640 26.112385 47.656138 82.593131
2025-10-19 0.413969 1.880742 5.527912 13.408790 27.973860 51.559173 90.063800
2025-10-26 0.357208 1.767396 5.429998 13.555497 28.841720 53.905174 95.211077
2025-11-02 0.284426 1.575238 5.121161 13.253343 28.893386 54.933077 98.345625
2025-11-09 0.227547 1.413894 4.858886 13.017354 29.041032 56.107568 101.721324
2025-11-16 0.185829 1.290618 4.670349 12.913633 29.414525 57.650189 105.693062
2025-11-23 0.150962 1.177975 4.490359 12.809421 29.775089 59.173243 109.659516